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7 September 2023,09:21
Weekly Outlook
7 September 2023, 09:21
The June preliminary release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany increased by 0.3% compared to the previous month. This persistent rise indicates that the country still has a significant challenge ahead in combating inflation.
As the inflation in Q1 2023 remained high with a rate of 6.7%, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates by 25 basis points to 5.50% in May and expects no additional policy tightening would be needed to tame inflation.
The May reading came in below market consensus, declining from 4.9% to 4.0%. Although inflation remains elevated, there are positive signs of a downward trend, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance aimed at achieving the 2% inflation target.
In June, while the market expected a pause of interest rate, the Bank of Canada surprised with a 25 basis point increase. Following the announcement, the central bank adopted a wait-and-see approach, possibly putting a pause on its hiking cycle in order to gauge the effects of tightening.
In a surprising turn, US PPI declined in May, dropping from 0.2% to -0.3%. This unexpected shift suggests a decrease in inflationary pressures across the economy, potentially offering some relief to consumers and giving the markets more hope for the Fed to start slanting Dovish.
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